Malaria Disease Prediction and Grading System

Abstract

Malaria disease is the number one cause of death all over the Sub-Sahara world. Data mining can help extract valuable knowledge from available data in the healthcare sector. This allows training a patient health prediction model faster than in a clinical trial. Various implementation of machine learning algorithms such as Bayesian Theorem, Logistic Regression, K-Nearest Neighbor, Support Vector Machine and Multinomial Naïve Bayes (MNB), etc. have been applied on Public Hospital Malaria Disease datasets but there has been a limit to modeling using Multinomial Naïve Bayes Algorithm. This research applied MNB modeling to discover the relationship between 15 relevant attributes of the Public Hospitals data collected from Bwari General Hospital in Bwari Area Council and Maitama Hospital in Abuja Municipal Area Council, Abuja, FCT, and Nigeria. The goal is to examine how dependencies between attributes affect the performance of the classifier. The MNB produces a reliable and transparent graphical representation between the attributes with the ability to predict new scenarios. The model has an accuracy of 97%. It was concluded that the model outperformed the GNB classifier which has an accuracy of 100% and RF which also has an accuracy of 100%.