Department of Economics

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Author: search.filters.author.Inim Victor EdetSubject: search.filters.subject.Nigeria

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    Other Determinants of Inflation in Nigeria
    (European Center of Sustainable Development (ECSDEV), 2020-02-02) Inim Victor Edet; Udo Emmanuel Samuel; Abner Ishaku Prince
    Inflation is a continuous macroeconomic concern that has dominated thoughts at major economic fora due to its pervasive effect on the economy. The quantity theory of money isolates money supply as the major cause of inflation. The economic reality in Nigeria contravenes the theory. The study examines other determinants of inflation in Nigeria using the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) method on quarterly data from January 1999- December 2018. Findings show that poor infrastructural development, exchange rate, political instability, corruption, and double taxation significantly stimulate inflation rather than just money supply. The results show a causal relationship between other determining factors and inflation. The ARDL result shows a significant long-short run relationship. The study recommends that non-monetary factors of instigating inflation should be controlled and security expenditure should be review along with-related mechanisms to achieve low inflation at single digits at most and economic growth and development.
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    THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN STOCK RETURNS AND INFLATION RATES IN NIGERIA FROM 1995 to 2014
    (International Journal of Economics, Commerce and Management (United Kingdom), 2018-02-02) Njogo, Bibiana O; Inim Victor Edet; Ohiaeri, Nnenna V; Ogboi, C
    This study focused on determining the relationship between inflation rate and stock returns using the Consumer Price Index and the All Share Index on the Nigerian Stock Exchange covering the period 1995 to 2014. The data were analyzed for evidence of co-integration and causality using Error Correction and Granger co-integration model. The Pearson Correlation result shows that, there is significant negative relationship between stock returns and inflation rates in Nigeria. Augmented Dickey Fuller result shows that the series are non-stationary in their level form and are integrated of order one. Johansen co-integration test result shows evidence of co-integration implying that there is a long run relationship between stock market returns and inflation rates in Nigeria. Furthermore, there is significant negative impact of inflation rates on stock market returns in Nigeria. The pair-wise Granger causality test shows that there is a strong unidirectional causality. Also, result from the Error Correction Model suggests that about 43% of the variations in stock returns are accounted for by inflation rates. The study recommends economic reforms that target macroeconomic stability in the country, removal of structural twist, and creation of business-friendly environment that ensures price stability as these will encourage investment in stocks in Nigeria.